Intel Desk

Qatar outage confirmed smaller or shorter than first reported (currently ~17% LNG capacity, up to 5yr recovery)

Credible reopening or protection of Hormuz flows (UK, FR, DE, IT, NL, JP said ready to support -- watch for action)

Explicit emergency supply action that cools oil and gas fast (IEA reserve release, sanctions relief for Iranian barrels)

Never trade the initial headline. By the time a push notification hits, crude has already spiked.

Trade the secondary mechanics. Check bond yields and FX to see if institutional capital reads structural shift or temporary panic.

Challenge source origin. Treat social media as unverified noise until corroborated by Reuters/FT/official wire.

Edge = speed + discipline, not volume. Reuters first thing, midday, pre-US close. FT AM + late PM. Official statements only when they hit.