Oil Market Tripwire Monitor

Tripwires firing

• !
  Hormuz corridor pressure 76 — above threshold 60

Live state

Thresholds

A tripwire fires when any single value crosses. No magic weighting, no blackbox score.

• Brent / WTI change ≥ 3% or ≤ -3%
• Gold change ≥ 1.5%
• VIX change ≥ 10%
• Hormuz corridor pressure ≥ 60

Latest oil-market headlines

10 items in the last 12 hours, ordered newest first.

1. 4m ago
   Axios

   Iran strikes cargo ship in Strait of Hormuz, defying U.S. ultimatum
2. 25m ago
   X: SentDefender

   Following the IRGC’s announcement of the temporary closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the IRGC firing on a commercial vessel, we can expect U.S retaliatory...
3. 33m ago
   X: SentDefender

   In direct contradiction to reports that the U.S. was expecting an Iranian announcement on freedom of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and more evidence...
4. 35m ago
   TG: IntelSlava

   — Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy (IRGCN) has announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz after firing warning shots at a vessel that ignored...
5. 41m ago
   TG: Clandestine Intel

   — BREAKING: IRGC Navy announces the closure of the Strait of Hormuz until further notice and until U.S.
6. 43m ago
   TG: RV War Correspondents

   IRGC completely blocked the Strait of Hormuz and opened warning fire IRGC naval forces report that the ship ignored navigation instructions in the Strait of...
7. 50m ago
   FinancialJuice

   FinancialJuice: Iran's IRGC Navy: Any adversary exploiting incident as pretext for misstep will face severe response
8. 50m ago
   TG: Press TV

   IRGC: Vessel brought to halt in Strait of Hormuz despite previous warnings
9. 52m ago
   FinancialJuice

   FinancialJuice: Iran's IRGC Navy: Strait of Hormuz closed until further notice, U.S. interference ends
10. 53m ago
    TG: Clandestine Intel

    —/ BREAKING: Iran announces the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, in response to the U.S. failing to uphold the Islamabad MoU